Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
BUY NO
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
NO wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bitcoin and ethereum prices today, Wednesday, August 12, 2026: Crypto prices rise with CPI report on deckYahoo Finance · 17m ago
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- Russia moves to restrict retail crypto trading to bitcoin, ether and USDTCoinDesk · 1h ago
- The First Spot Bitcoin ETF Is Closing Down. Here's Why I'm Not Concerned About Bitcoin Right Now.Yahoo Finance · 1h ago
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-30s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Source: https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-30s-streams