Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
BUY NO
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
NO wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bitcoin, XRP, Ethereum, and Solana Drop. Will Crypto Recover by the End of 2026?Yahoo Finance · 40m ago
- 4 Reasons This Could Be the Most Important Week of August for Bitcoin and XRPYahoo Finance · 1h ago
- Bitcoin Has Never Faced Global Bond Yields This High Since It Was BornYahoo Finance · 3h ago
- Bitcoin Is Down 44% and Its Miners Are Up 90%. The AI Pivot Explains Everything.Yahoo Finance · 4h ago
- The 'long bitcoin, short the bankers' era is officially over as TradFi giants embrace digital assetsCoinDesk · 10h ago
- Harvard leaves bitcoin ETF stake untouched in Q2 after cutting it 43% in the prior quarterThe Block · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Source: https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams