Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Edelman Financial, Tudor Investment Reveal Significant Bitcoin HoldingsBitcoin Magazine · 13h ago
- Abu Dhabi Sovereign Wealth Funds Keep Big Bitcoin PositionsBitcoin Magazine · 14h ago
- France Tax Data Leak Could Fuel Scams, Attacks Targeting Bitcoin HoldersDecrypt · 14h ago
- Bitcoiners Warned After French Tax Authority Confirms Data Breach Affecting Hundreds of ThousandsBitcoin Magazine · 14h ago
- Cboe seeks SEC nod for first US 3x bitcoin and ether ETFsThe Block · 16h ago
- Coldcard Bitcoin Thefts Slow, But Losses Could Top $150 Million: GalaxyDecrypt · 17h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Source: https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams