Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Pokémon Cards Beat Bitcoin and S&P 500 in 2026 as Collectibles Move OnchainYahoo Finance · 36m ago
- Bitcoin market in ‘hibernation’ as perp trading activity sinks to three-year low ahead of US CPI release: K33The Block · 37m ago
- Bitcoin holds near $64,000 as U.S. inflation data looms, Harmony exploit rattles altcoinsCoinDesk · 48m ago
- Bitcoin miners earn under 0.7% of revenue from fees in new 10-year lowCointelegraph · 1h ago
- Crypto companies urge AI firms to give Bitcoin developers early accessCointelegraph · 2h ago
- One overlooked group has added $1.78 billion of selling pressure to bitcoin marketCoinDesk · 2h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Source: https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams