Brazil bans Discord by September 30, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 3.0¢
- Implied chance
- 3.0%
- Return if right
- 3233.3%
- Spread cost
- 32%
If you put in $100
You get 3333.3 shares at 3.0¢ each.
YES wins: $3333.33 back, a profit of $3233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1544.72 of that profit. Without it you would make $4778.05.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.9¢
- Implied chance
- 98.9%
- Return if right
- 1.1%
- Spread cost
- 47%
If you put in $100
You get 101.1 shares at 98.9¢ each.
NO wins: $101.11 back, a profit of $1.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.98 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.09.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Brazil sues chat platform Discord over failure to protect child usersAl Jazeera · 28d ago
- Discord suspends livestreams in Brazil amid backlash over girl's suicideCBS News · 1mo ago
- Brazil orders Discord to halt livestreaming after teen deathDeutsche Welle · 1mo ago
- Brazil orders Discord to suspend livestreams after teen’s deathAl Jazeera · 1mo ago
- Discord ordered to suspend livestreams in BrazilBBC Business · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Brazil bans Discord by September 30, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
On August 6, 2026, Poder360 reported that Brazil’s Attorney General’s Office (AGU) plans to ask the courts to suspend Discord in Brazil, citing alleged failures to comply with Brazilian law and adequately protect minors. You can read more about that here: https://www.poder360.com.br/poder-justica/agu-vai-acionar-a-justica-para-tirar-o-discord-do-ar-diz-messias/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if use of Discord is banned within Brazil through a nationwide, legally effective government or court order and such ban is publicly confirmed between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A legally-effective nationwide court order requiring either the temporary suspension of Discord’s activities in Brazil or a prohibition on Discord operating in Brazil will qualify as a ban for the purposes of this market, regardless of whether technical implementation of the order has been completed. An order that is stayed, suspended, or overturned before taking legal effect will not qualify. If a qualifying order takes legal effect, a subsequent stay, suspension, or reversal will not affect the market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Brazilian government, courts and Discord, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.