Serbia vs. Iceland
BUY YES
- Cost
- 99.0¢
- Implied chance
- 99.0%
- Return if right
- 1.0%
- Spread cost
- 61%
If you put in $100
You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.
YES wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.55 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.56.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 4.0¢
- Implied chance
- 4.0%
- Return if right
- 2400.0%
- Spread cost
- 38%
If you put in $100
You get 2500.0 shares at 4.0¢ each.
NO wins: $2500.00 back, a profit of $2400.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1500.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $3900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Iceland’s Murder Rate Is Off the Charts — in Its Books, at LeastThe New York Times · 2h ago
- EU, Russian aircraft help Serbia battle wildfiresAl Jazeera · 4h ago
- Serbia requests international assistance to battle wildfiresAl Jazeera · 14h ago
- Iceland Faces Close Vote on EU TalksBloomberg · 22h ago
- Icelandic Producer Hlín Jóhannsdóttir Sets ‘Just a Kid’ With Alief Ahead of Haugesund and Reunites With ‘Driving Mum’ Team (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 3d ago
- "Sava's Titanic" wreckage emerges in Serbia as rivers dry upCBS News · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Serbia vs. Iceland”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for August 28 at 6:00AM ET: If the Serbia win, the market will resolve to "Serbia". If the Iceland win, the market will resolve to "Iceland". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Source: https://www.fiba.basketball/basketballworldcup/2027/qualifiers