Poland vs. Germany
BUY YES
- Cost
- 29.0¢
- Implied chance
- 29.0%
- Return if right
- 244.8%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 344.8 shares at 29.0¢ each.
YES wins: $344.83 back, a profit of $244.83. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $18.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $263.64.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 74.0¢
- Implied chance
- 74.0%
- Return if right
- 35.1%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 135.1 shares at 74.0¢ each.
NO wins: $135.14 back, a profit of $35.14. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.80 of that profit. Without it you would make $37.93.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 30, 10:05 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- British woman dies after stabbing at train station in GermanySky News · 18m ago
- Germany news: Merkel tells voters to 'stand up' for democracyDeutsche Welle · 11h ago
- Germany news: Sick leave wage bill doubles in 15 yearsDeutsche Welle · 22h ago
- Poland Sees Growth Slowing to 2% in 2030 on Fiscal TighteningBloomberg · 1d ago
- Germany news: Fire at Berlin refugee home sparks evacuationsDeutsche Welle · 1d ago
- Germany news: Baltic summit plans hybrid-threat task forceDeutsche Welle · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Poland vs. Germany”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for August 30 at 6:00AM ET: If the Poland win, the market will resolve to "Poland". If the Germany win, the market will resolve to "Germany". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Source: https://www.fiba.basketball/basketballworldcup/2027/qualifiers