Latvia vs. Israel
BUY YES
- Cost
- 51.0¢
- Implied chance
- 51.0%
- Return if right
- 96.1%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 196.1 shares at 51.0¢ each.
YES wins: $196.08 back, a profit of $96.08. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.94 of that profit. Without it you would make $102.02.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 52.0¢
- Implied chance
- 52.0%
- Return if right
- 92.3%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 192.3 shares at 52.0¢ each.
NO wins: $192.31 back, a profit of $92.31. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.71 of that profit. Without it you would make $98.02.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 30, 05:14 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Trump cannot deport students for criticizing Israel, federal judge rulesCBS News · 8h ago
- Israel raids, shutters UNRWA lifeline for Palestinian refugeesAl Jazeera · 16h ago
- Jewish AG’s convention boycott exposes deepening Israel fault line among Michigan DemocratsFox News · 19h ago
- Turkey and Israel Vie for Middle East Influence as Tensions SpikeThe New York Times · 20h ago
- Judge Rules Trump Unlawfully Targeted Stanford Students Who Criticized IsraelThe New York Times · 1d ago
- Israel army carries out rare West Bank air strike, killing 'three terrorists'France 24 · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Latvia vs. Israel”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for August 30 at 6:00AM ET: If the Latvia win, the market will resolve to "Latvia". If the Israel win, the market will resolve to "Israel". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Source: https://www.fiba.basketball/basketballworldcup/2027/qualifiers