Iceland vs. Turkiye
BUY YES
- Cost
- 9.0¢
- Implied chance
- 9.0%
- Return if right
- 1011.1%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 1111.1 shares at 9.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1111.11 back, a profit of $1011.11. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $65.36 of that profit. Without it you would make $1076.47.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 92.0¢
- Implied chance
- 92.0%
- Return if right
- 8.7%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 108.7 shares at 92.0¢ each.
NO wins: $108.70 back, a profit of $8.70. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.59 of that profit. Without it you would make $9.29.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 30, 11:17 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Top officials from Turkiye, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan to meet in IstanbulAl Jazeera · 5h ago
- Iceland rejects EU accession talksFrance 24 · 8h ago
- Iceland votes to reject EU accession talks: What happens next?Al Jazeera · 10h ago
- Iceland Rejects Restarting EU Membership TalksBloomberg · 11h ago
- Iceland Votes to Steer Clear of European Union TalksThe New York Times · 12h ago
- Definitely no or maybe yes: what tipped the Icelandic referendum | Miranda BryantThe Guardian · 14h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Iceland vs. Turkiye”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for August 31 at 6:00AM ET: If the Iceland win, the market will resolve to "Iceland". If the Turkiye win, the market will resolve to "Turkiye". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Source: https://www.fiba.basketball/basketballworldcup/2027/qualifiers