Hungary vs. Estonia
BUY YES
- Cost
- 54.0¢
- Implied chance
- 54.0%
- Return if right
- 85.2%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 185.2 shares at 54.0¢ each.
YES wins: $185.19 back, a profit of $85.19. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.99 of that profit. Without it you would make $94.17.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 51.0¢
- Implied chance
- 51.0%
- Return if right
- 96.1%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 196.1 shares at 51.0¢ each.
NO wins: $196.08 back, a profit of $96.08. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $106.19.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 26, 04:21 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Hungary Cuts Key Interest Rate, Reviews Inflation GoalBloomberg · 1d ago
- Melancholy made in Hungary is fuelling bestsellers across the globe – and widely misunderstoodThe Guardian · 6d ago
- Poland-registered bus veers off Hungary highway, killing 12 peopleFrance 24 · 10d ago
- Bus carrying Polish pilgrims crashes in Hungary, leaving 12 deadThe Guardian · 10d ago
- Bus crash in Hungary kills at least 12Deutsche Welle · 10d ago
- At least 12 people killed in Hungary bus crashAl Jazeera · 10d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Hungary vs. Estonia”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for August 27 at 6:00AM ET: If the Hungary win, the market will resolve to "Hungary". If the Estonia win, the market will resolve to "Estonia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Source: https://www.fiba.basketball/basketballworldcup/2027/qualifiers