Germany vs. Netherlands
BUY YES
- Cost
- 98.3¢
- Implied chance
- 98.3%
- Return if right
- 1.7%
- Spread cost
- 41%
If you put in $100
You get 101.7 shares at 98.3¢ each.
YES wins: $101.73 back, a profit of $1.73. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.20 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.93.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 4.0¢
- Implied chance
- 4.0%
- Return if right
- 2400.0%
- Spread cost
- 30%
If you put in $100
You get 2500.0 shares at 4.0¢ each.
NO wins: $2500.00 back, a profit of $2400.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1008.77 of that profit. Without it you would make $3408.77.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 25, 04:38 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Oscars: Germany Selects Sandra Wollner’s ‘Everytime’ for International Feature RaceVariety · 42m ago
- Will Volkswagen's crunch week decide Germany's auto future?Deutsche Welle · 3h ago
- VW CEO Says Half of Global Job Cuts Must Come From GermanyBloomberg · 6h ago
- Germany news: Third drone found in Leipzig airport probeDeutsche Welle · 10h ago
- England World Cup hopes end after Netherlands drawBBC Sport · 20h ago
- F1 in the Netherlands: The driver you most want to beat is your teammateArs Technica · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Germany vs. Netherlands”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for August 27 at 6:00AM ET: If the Germany win, the market will resolve to "Germany". If the Netherlands win, the market will resolve to "Netherlands". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Source: https://www.fiba.basketball/basketballworldcup/2027/qualifiers