Estonia vs. Finland
BUY YES
- Cost
- 22.0¢
- Implied chance
- 22.0%
- Return if right
- 354.5%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 454.5 shares at 22.0¢ each.
YES wins: $454.55 back, a profit of $354.55. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10.57 of that profit. Without it you would make $365.12.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 79.0¢
- Implied chance
- 79.0%
- Return if right
- 26.6%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 126.6 shares at 79.0¢ each.
NO wins: $126.58 back, a profit of $26.58. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $27.39.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 29, 10:09 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Aurinkokarhu, FEP JV aim to deliver 3GW of energy projects in FinlandYahoo Finance · 11d ago
- Finland halts deportation of Russian family who ‘risked everything’ to oppose Ukraine invasionThe Guardian · 12d ago
- Estonia rejects proposals to take prisoners from UK jailsBBC Politics · 17d ago
- New train service connects Finland and Sweden for first time in decadesBBC News · 19d ago
- Russian family denied asylum in Finland fear reprisals for pro-Ukraine activismThe Guardian · 21d ago
- Finland Tries to Protect Children Against Deepfakes, With Russia in MindThe New York Times · 25d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Estonia vs. Finland”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for August 30 at 6:00AM ET: If the Estonia win, the market will resolve to "Estonia". If the Finland win, the market will resolve to "Finland". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Source: https://www.fiba.basketball/basketballworldcup/2027/qualifiers