Syria vs. Australia
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.0¢
- Implied chance
- 2.0%
- Return if right
- 4900.0%
- Spread cost
- 46%
If you put in $100
You get 5000.0 shares at 2.0¢ each.
YES wins: $5000.00 back, a profit of $4900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4090.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $8990.91.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.8¢
- Implied chance
- 99.8%
- Return if right
- 0.2%
- Spread cost
- 82%
If you put in $100
You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.
NO wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.11.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Fears grow for fourth rate hike after Australia sees higher-than-expected July inflationThe Guardian · 8h ago
- Australia’s Second-Largest Pension Makes Big Bullish Bet on YenBloomberg · 13h ago
- Australia’s Sovereign Wealth CEO Raphael Arndt to Leave RoleBloomberg · 15h ago
- Australia may face a rush of datacentre construction as AI firms look to avoid upcoming rules, experts sayThe Guardian · 1d ago
- Australia Bans AI-Generated Tracks From Official Music Charts to ‘Promote the Human Nature of Artistry’Variety · 1d ago
- Australia Bans Generative A.I. From Official Music ChartsThe New York Times · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Syria vs. Australia”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for August 28 at 6:00AM ET: If the Syria win, the market will resolve to "Syria". If the Australia win, the market will resolve to "Australia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Source: https://www.fiba.basketball/basketballworldcup/2027/qualifiers