New Zealand vs. Syria
BUY YES
- Cost
- 99.8¢
- Implied chance
- 99.8%
- Return if right
- 0.2%
- Spread cost
- 73%
If you put in $100
You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.
YES wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.56 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.76.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 1.3¢
- Implied chance
- 1.3%
- Return if right
- 7592.3%
- Spread cost
- 43%
If you put in $100
You get 7692.3 shares at 1.3¢ each.
NO wins: $7692.31 back, a profit of $7592.31. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5641.03 of that profit. Without it you would make $13233.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 29, 10:10 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- New Zealand to introduce bill for under-16s social media banBBC News · 5d ago
- New Zealand proposes social media ban for under-16sDeutsche Welle · 6d ago
- New Zealand to consider banning children under 16 from social mediaThe Guardian · 6d ago
- New Zealand Opposition Vows to Restore RBNZ Dual MandateBloomberg · 7d ago
- New Zealand great Tui joins TrailfindersBBC Sport · 11d ago
- Ruthless Clayton wins New Zealand titleBBC Sport · 14d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “New Zealand vs. Syria”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for August 30 at 6:00AM ET: If the New Zealand win, the market will resolve to "New Zealand". If the Syria win, the market will resolve to "Syria". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Source: https://www.fiba.basketball/basketballworldcup/2027/qualifiers