China vs. Lebanon
BUY YES
- Cost
- 71.0¢
- Implied chance
- 71.0%
- Return if right
- 40.8%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 140.8 shares at 71.0¢ each.
YES wins: $140.85 back, a profit of $40.85. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.01 of that profit. Without it you would make $42.86.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 31.0¢
- Implied chance
- 31.0%
- Return if right
- 222.6%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 322.6 shares at 31.0¢ each.
NO wins: $322.58 back, a profit of $222.58. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10.75 of that profit. Without it you would make $233.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Video: Israeli strike kills newlywed woman in south LebanonAl Jazeera · 3d ago
- Israeli strike kills ‘newlywed’ woman in south Lebanon, wounds othersAl Jazeera · 3d ago
- Scenes From a Destroyed Barbershop in LebanonThe New York Times · 3d ago
- Israel continues attacks on Syria, Lebanon despite US push for diplomacyAl Jazeera · 3d ago
- Lebanon’s Efforts to Tame Hezbollah Stall Amid Israel WarThe New York Times · 8d ago
- World Bank projects war-hit Lebanon’s economy to contract by 6.4 percentAl Jazeera · 8d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “China vs. Lebanon”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for August 31 at 6:00AM ET: If the China win, the market will resolve to "China". If the Lebanon win, the market will resolve to "Lebanon". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Source: https://www.fiba.basketball/basketballworldcup/2027/qualifiers