Tunisia vs. South Sudan
BUY YES
- Cost
- 8.0¢
- Implied chance
- 8.0%
- Return if right
- 1150.0%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 1250.0 shares at 8.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1250.00 back, a profit of $1150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $83.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $1233.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 93.0¢
- Implied chance
- 93.0%
- Return if right
- 7.5%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 107.5 shares at 93.0¢ each.
NO wins: $107.53 back, a profit of $7.53. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.58 of that profit. Without it you would make $8.11.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 30, 10:05 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Armed raid on cattle camp kills at least 49 in South SudanAl Jazeera · 2d ago
- Tunisia mourns deceased migrants after small boat tragedyFrance 24 · 3d ago
- 8 migrants buried in Tunisia’s coastal town of Ben GuerdaneAl Jazeera · 4d ago
- South Sudan UN Attack Pushes Aid Worker Deaths Past 2025 TotalBloomberg · 5d ago
- Search continues in Tunisia as migrant boat sinking sparks protestsAl Jazeera · 5d ago
- Ambush in South Sudan kills peacekeeping troopsAl Jazeera · 6d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Tunisia vs. South Sudan”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game, scheduled for August 30 at 6:00AM ET: If the Tunisia win, the market will resolve to "Tunisia". If the South Sudan win, the market will resolve to "South Sudan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Source: https://www.fiba.basketball/basketballworldcup/2027/qualifiers