Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18?
BUY NO
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
NO wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Dollar-Cost Averaging Into Bitcoin vs XRP Since the 2025 Peak: Which Crypto Held Up Better?Yahoo Finance · 26m ago
- Bitcoin has gone quiet as traders chase ‘5x or 10x’ payoffs elsewhereCoinDesk · 42m ago
- Bitcoin Is Down but Asset’s Role as Global Monetary Alternative Remains, Says BlackrockBitcoin Magazine · 53m ago
- MARA Holdings Falls 5%, Riot Platforms Sinks 4% as Rates Outweigh a 35,577 Bitcoin TreasuryYahoo Finance · 57m ago
- Metaplanet expands Bitcoin treasury strategy to US with 2,100-BTC Nasdaq playCointelegraph · 1h ago
- Bitcoin and ethereum prices today, Tuesday, August 18, 2026: Crypto prices mixed as Iran stalemate continuesYahoo Finance · 2h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT