Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?
BUY NO
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
NO wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Is Bitcoin a Buy at $63,000? We Asked 3 AI ModelsYahoo Finance · 34m ago
- Jim Cramer Is Selling His Bitcoin, Citing the Quantum Threat. Here's Why He's Wrong.Yahoo Finance · 2h ago
- Swiss mega-bank UBS ramps up its Bitcoin exposure with a massive 24-fold surge in ETF call optionsCoinDesk · 2h ago
- Why the world’s second-largest Bitcoin mining power is shutting down rigs in its capital cityCoinDesk · 2h ago
- Paul Tudor Jones’ investment firm increases stake in BlackRock's bitcoin ETF after year of sellingCoinDesk · 3h ago
- Wall Street Only Looked Like This in 1929 and 2000: What It Means for Bitcoin?Yahoo Finance · 3h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT