Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bitcoin Companies Want Help From AI Labs to Guard Against HackersDecrypt · 10m ago
- Data Breach at Trezor Leaks Info on Nearly 14,000 Bitcoin Wallet UsersBitcoin Magazine · 29m ago
- Metaplanet Denies Selling $320M in Bitcoin as Firm Launches BitBondsYahoo Finance · 41m ago
- Metaplanet Denies Selling $320M in Bitcoin as Firm Launches BitBondsDecrypt · 41m ago
- Chinese AI Beats Restricted OpenAI and Anthropic Cybersecurity Models, Bitcoin Industry WarnsBitcoin Magazine · 1h ago
- Public Bitcoin miners cut hashrate 13.4% as AI infrastructure revenue growsCointelegraph · 1h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT