Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 13.3¢
- Implied chance
- 13.3%
- Return if right
- 651.9%
- Spread cost
- 14%
If you put in $100
You get 751.9 shares at 13.3¢ each.
YES wins: $751.88 back, a profit of $651.88. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $102.82 of that profit. Without it you would make $754.70.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 89.9¢
- Implied chance
- 89.9%
- Return if right
- 11.2%
- Spread cost
- 15%
If you put in $100
You get 111.2 shares at 89.9¢ each.
NO wins: $111.23 back, a profit of $11.23. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.02 of that profit. Without it you would make $13.25.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 08:18 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bitcoin price steadies, ONDO rallies as US Treasury yields hit 2007 highsCointelegraph · 5h ago
- Saifedean Ammous: The Bond Crisis & Bitcoin’s Rise as a True Macro AssetBitcoin Magazine · 6h ago
- Bitcoin just topped a key long-term moving average. Here's what it might meanCoinDesk · 6h ago
- JPMorgan says bitcoin crossing $85,000 production cost could ease miner selling pressureThe Block · 7h ago
- Institutions Held Their Bitcoin Through Crash — and Some Bought More: ReportBitcoin Magazine · 7h ago
- Sequans exits Bitcoin treasury strategy after selling remaining 314 BTCCointelegraph · 8h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.