Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 17?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.2¢
- Implied chance
- 0.2%
- Return if right
- 49900.0%
- Spread cost
- 25%
If you put in $100
You get 50000.0 shares at 0.2¢ each.
YES wins: $50000.00 back, a profit of $49900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $66566.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 33%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.15.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 16, 04:28 AM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Harvard leaves bitcoin ETF stake untouched in Q2 after cutting it 43% in the prior quarterThe Block · 10h ago
- Is Bitcoin a Buy at $63,000? We Asked 3 AI ModelsYahoo Finance · 11h ago
- Jim Cramer Is Selling His Bitcoin, Citing the Quantum Threat. Here's Why He's Wrong.Yahoo Finance · 12h ago
- Swiss mega-bank UBS ramps up its Bitcoin exposure with a massive 24-fold surge in ETF call optionsCoinDesk · 13h ago
- Why the world’s second-largest Bitcoin mining power is shutting down rigs in its capital cityCoinDesk · 13h ago
- Paul Tudor Jones’ investment firm increases stake in BlackRock's bitcoin ETF after year of sellingCoinDesk · 13h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 17?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
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