Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 14?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.3¢
- Implied chance
- 2.3%
- Return if right
- 4247.8%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 4347.8 shares at 2.3¢ each.
YES wins: $4347.83 back, a profit of $4247.83. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $96.62 of that profit. Without it you would make $4344.44.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.8¢
- Implied chance
- 97.8%
- Return if right
- 2.2%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 102.2 shares at 97.8¢ each.
NO wins: $102.25 back, a profit of $2.25. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.30.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 13, 04:41 AM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Metaplanet CEO shuts down Bitcoin sale speculation after $322M transferCointelegraph · 27m ago
- Bitcoin slips near $63,500 as traders look past CPI to Fed’s next testsCoinDesk · 1h ago
- Bitcoin Price May Be Battered, but Structural Adoption Story Still Intact: GrayscaleBitcoin Magazine · 7h ago
- Goldman Sachs to Acquire NEOS Investments in $2.25B Deal, Adding Bitcoin Income ETFs to LineupBitcoin Magazine · 7h ago
- Bitcoin Flashes Bottom Signals as “Digital Gold” Narrative ReturnsBitcoin Magazine · 10h ago
- Goldman Sachs' $2.25B NEOS Deal Hands It Ready-Made Bitcoin Income ETF BusinessDecrypt · 10h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 14?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
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