Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 11?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.8¢
- Implied chance
- 2.8%
- Return if right
- 3471.4%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 3571.4 shares at 2.8¢ each.
YES wins: $3571.43 back, a profit of $3471.43. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $64.94 of that profit. Without it you would make $3536.36.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.3¢
- Implied chance
- 97.3%
- Return if right
- 2.8%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 102.8 shares at 97.3¢ each.
NO wins: $102.77 back, a profit of $2.77. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.83.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 07:46 PM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds See Spike In Inflows Following Huge HackBitcoin Magazine · 13m ago
- BlackRock says bitcoin sentiment is turning as decoupling from stocks takes holdThe Block · 18m ago
- Another Dormant Bitcoin Wallet Holding Millions Wakes Up After 12 YearsDecrypt · 35m ago
- Riot Platforms and MARA Drop 6%, CleanSpark Sinks 5% as Strategy Sells Bitcoin, SharesYahoo Finance · 2h ago
- Bitcoin Rally Fades—Where Does Price Go Next?Decrypt · 3h ago
- Keel shutters all US bitcoin mining operations amid continuing AI pivotThe Block · 3h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 11?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
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