Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 11?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 57.0¢
- Implied chance
- 57.0%
- Return if right
- 75.4%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 175.4 shares at 57.0¢ each.
YES wins: $175.44 back, a profit of $75.44. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.55 of that profit. Without it you would make $76.99.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 44.0¢
- Implied chance
- 44.0%
- Return if right
- 127.3%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 227.3 shares at 44.0¢ each.
NO wins: $227.27 back, a profit of $127.27. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $129.89.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 11, 05:47 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bitcoin’s BIP-110 fork is 300 blocks behind BTC and six years from fixing itselfCoinDesk · 21m ago
- Luke Dashjr removed as Bitcoin Improvement Proposal editorCointelegraph · 54m ago
- XRP, ether lead crypto losses as traders eye $70,000 bitcoin nextCoinDesk · 57m ago
- Bitcoin's 'strongest hands' are back, on-chain data showCoinDesk · 2h ago
- Thailand’s 0% crypto tax. Bitcoin Red Team forced to use Chinese AI: Asia ExpressCointelegraph · 4h ago
- Blockstream Debuts Swaps, Allowing Bitcoiners to Move Between Lightning and Main Network With EaseBitcoin Magazine · 8h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 11?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
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