Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 13?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 50%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
YES wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.20.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 0.3¢
- Implied chance
- 0.3%
- Return if right
- 33233.3%
- Spread cost
- 33%
If you put in $100
You get 33333.3 shares at 0.3¢ each.
NO wins: $33333.33 back, a profit of $33233.33. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $49900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 12, 08:22 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Pokémon Cards Beat Bitcoin and S&P 500 in 2026 as Collectibles Move OnchainYahoo Finance · 33m ago
- Bitcoin market in ‘hibernation’ as perp trading activity sinks to three-year low ahead of US CPI release: K33The Block · 34m ago
- Bitcoin holds near $64,000 as U.S. inflation data looms, Harmony exploit rattles altcoinsCoinDesk · 45m ago
- Bitcoin miners earn under 0.7% of revenue from fees in new 10-year lowCointelegraph · 1h ago
- Crypto companies urge AI firms to give Bitcoin developers early accessCointelegraph · 2h ago
- One overlooked group has added $1.78 billion of selling pressure to bitcoin marketCoinDesk · 2h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 13?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
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