Set 2 Winner: Wallin vs Nikles

Q: Set 2 Winner: Wallin vs Nikles

Prediction markets currently price this at 73%. A YES share costs 73.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 37.0% over 8d.

Como: Olle Wallin vs Johan Nikles$5 liquidity$0 volumecloses 8d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 73.0¢
Implied chance: 73.0%
Return if right: 37.0%
Spread cost: 27%

If you put in $100

You get 137.0 shares at 73.0¢ each.

YES wins: $136.99 back, a profit of $36.99. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $13.39 of that profit. Without it you would make $50.38.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 40.0¢
Implied chance: 40.0%
Return if right: 150.0%
Spread cost: 24%

If you put in $100

You get 250.0 shares at 40.0¢ each.

NO wins: $250.00 back, a profit of $150.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $48.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $198.51.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 31, 07:31 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 2 Winner: Wallin vs Nikles”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Olle Wallin and Johan Nikles in the Como, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Wallin” if Olle Wallin wins set 2. It will resolve to “Nikles” if Johan Nikles wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current