Set Handicap: Kyrian Jacquet (-1.5) vs Aleksandar Vukic (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Kyrian Jacquet (-1.5) vs Aleksandar Vukic (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 33%. A YES share costs 33.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 203.0% over 6d.

Hangzhou Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian Jacquet$12k liquidity$59 volumecloses 6d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 33.0¢
Implied chance: 33.0%
Return if right: 203.0%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 303.0 shares at 33.0¢ each.

YES wins: $303.03 back, a profit of $203.03. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $9.47 of that profit. Without it you would make $212.50.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 69.0¢
Implied chance: 69.0%
Return if right: 44.9%
Spread cost: 5%

If you put in $100

You get 144.9 shares at 69.0¢ each.

NO wins: $144.93 back, a profit of $44.93. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.13 of that profit. Without it you would make $47.06.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 24, 12:00 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Set Handicap: Kyrian Jacquet (-1.5) vs Aleksandar Vukic (+1.…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Kyrian Jacquet and Aleksandar Vukic in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Kyrian Jacquet" if Kyrian Jacquet wins by 2 or more sets than Aleksandar Vukic, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Aleksandar Vukic." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Kyrian Jacquet can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Aleksandar Vukic." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current