Astana: Vadym Ursu vs Manoj Dhamne Manas

Q: Astana: Vadym Ursu vs Manoj Dhamne Manas

Prediction markets currently price this at 60%. A YES share costs 60.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 66.7% over 6d.

Astana: Vadym Ursu vs Manoj Dhamne Manas$302k liquidity$6k volumecloses 6d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 60.0¢
Implied chance: 60.0%
Return if right: 66.7%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 166.7 shares at 60.0¢ each.

YES wins: $166.67 back, a profit of $66.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $68.07.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 41.0¢
Implied chance: 41.0%
Return if right: 143.9%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 243.9 shares at 41.0¢ each.

NO wins: $243.90 back, a profit of $143.90. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.01 of that profit. Without it you would make $146.91.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 11, 05:42 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Astana: Vadym Ursu vs Manoj Dhamne Manas”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Vadym Ursu and Manoj Dhamne Manas in the Astana, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vadym Ursu' if Vadym Ursu advances against Manoj Dhamne Manas. This market will resolve to 'Manoj Dhamne Manas' if Manoj Dhamne Manas advances against Vadym Ursu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current