Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Sebastian Ofner

Q: Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Sebastian Ofner

Prediction markets currently price this at 45%. A YES share costs 45.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 122.2% over 7d.

Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Sebastian Ofner$82k liquidity$3k volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 45.0¢
Implied chance: 45.0%
Return if right: 122.2%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 222.2 shares at 45.0¢ each.

YES wins: $222.22 back, a profit of $122.22. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.50 of that profit. Without it you would make $124.72.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 56.0¢
Implied chance: 56.0%
Return if right: 78.6%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 178.6 shares at 56.0¢ each.

NO wins: $178.57 back, a profit of $78.57. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $80.18.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Sebastian Ofner in the Cincinnati Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Sebastian Ofner. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Ofner' if Sebastian Ofner advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current