Set 2 Winner: Svrcina vs Galarneau

Q: Set 2 Winner: Svrcina vs Galarneau

Prediction markets currently price this at 69%. A YES share costs 69.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 44.9% over 8d.

US Open, Qualification ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Alexis Galarneau$648 liquidity$0 volumecloses 8d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 69.0¢
Implied chance: 69.0%
Return if right: 44.9%
Spread cost: 39%

If you put in $100

You get 144.9 shares at 69.0¢ each.

YES wins: $144.93 back, a profit of $44.93. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $28.99 of that profit. Without it you would make $73.91.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 54.0¢
Implied chance: 54.0%
Return if right: 85.2%
Spread cost: 37%

If you put in $100

You get 185.2 shares at 54.0¢ each.

NO wins: $185.19 back, a profit of $85.19. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $50.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $135.29.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 25, 05:10 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 2 Winner: Svrcina vs Galarneau”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Dalibor Svrcina and Alexis Galarneau in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Svrcina” if Dalibor Svrcina wins set 2. It will resolve to “Galarneau” if Alexis Galarneau wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current