Sun vs. Nurlanuly: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Q: Sun vs. Nurlanuly: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Prediction markets currently price this at 24%. A YES share costs 24.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 316.7% over 6d.

Astana: Fajing Sun vs Zangar Nurlanuly$2k liquidity$95 volumecloses 6d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 24.0¢
Implied chance: 24.0%
Return if right: 316.7%
Spread cost: 13%

If you put in $100

You get 416.7 shares at 24.0¢ each.

YES wins: $416.67 back, a profit of $316.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $48.45 of that profit. Without it you would make $365.12.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 81.0¢
Implied chance: 81.0%
Return if right: 23.5%
Spread cost: 14%

If you put in $100

You get 123.5 shares at 81.0¢ each.

NO wins: $123.46 back, a profit of $23.46. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.93 of that profit. Without it you would make $27.39.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 11, 11:00 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Sun vs. Nurlanuly: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Fajing Sun and Zangar Nurlanuly in the Astana, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current