Hangzhou Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hugo Gaston

Q: Hangzhou Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hugo Gaston

Prediction markets currently price this at 48%. A YES share costs 48.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 108.3% over 6d.

Hangzhou Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hugo Gaston$106k liquidity$4k volumecloses 6d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 48.0¢
Implied chance: 48.0%
Return if right: 108.3%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 208.3 shares at 48.0¢ each.

YES wins: $208.33 back, a profit of $108.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $110.53.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 53.0¢
Implied chance: 53.0%
Return if right: 88.7%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 188.7 shares at 53.0¢ each.

NO wins: $188.68 back, a profit of $88.68. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.80 of that profit. Without it you would make $90.48.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 23, 10:01 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Hangzhou Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hugo Gaston”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Hugo Gaston in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Hugo Gaston. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Sho Shimabukuro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current