Set Handicap: Santillan (-1.5) vs Ghibaudo (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Santillan (-1.5) vs Ghibaudo (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 28%. A YES share costs 28.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 257.1% over 1d.

Istanbul 2: Akira Santillan vs Antoine Ghibaudo$4k liquidity$23 volumecloses 1d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 28.0¢
Implied chance: 28.0%
Return if right: 257.1%
Spread cost: 7%

If you put in $100

You get 357.1 shares at 28.0¢ each.

YES wins: $357.14 back, a profit of $257.14. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $20.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $277.36.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 75.0¢
Implied chance: 75.0%
Return if right: 33.3%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 133.3 shares at 75.0¢ each.

NO wins: $133.33 back, a profit of $33.33. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.72 of that profit. Without it you would make $36.05.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Akira Santillan and Antoine Ghibaudo in the Istanbul 2, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Santillan" if Akira Santillan wins by 2 or more sets than Antoine Ghibaudo, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Ghibaudo." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current