Set 2 Winner: Royer vs Miguel

Q: Set 2 Winner: Royer vs Miguel

Prediction markets currently price this at 99%. A YES share costs 99.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 1.0% over 8d.

Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel$0 liquidity$0 volumecloses 8d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 99.0¢
Implied chance: 99.0%
Return if right: 1.0%
Spread cost: 99%

If you put in $100

You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.

YES wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $98.99 of that profit. Without it you would make $100.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 99.0¢
Implied chance: 99.0%
Return if right: 1.0%
Spread cost: 99%

If you put in $100

You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.

NO wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $98.99 of that profit. Without it you would make $100.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 16, 07:07 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 2 Winner: Royer vs Miguel”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Royer and Luis Guto Miguel in the Kingston, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Royer” if Valentin Royer wins set 2. It will resolve to “Miguel” if Luis Guto Miguel wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current