Set 2 Winner: Rawat vs Alkaya

Q: Set 2 Winner: Rawat vs Alkaya

Prediction markets currently price this at 32%. A YES share costs 32.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 212.5% over 7d.

Astana: Sidharth Rawat vs Mert Alkaya$63 liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 32.0¢
Implied chance: 32.0%
Return if right: 212.5%
Spread cost: 21%

If you put in $100

You get 312.5 shares at 32.0¢ each.

YES wins: $312.50 back, a profit of $212.50. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $57.87 of that profit. Without it you would make $270.37.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 78.0¢
Implied chance: 78.0%
Return if right: 28.2%
Spread cost: 24%

If you put in $100

You get 128.2 shares at 78.0¢ each.

NO wins: $128.21 back, a profit of $28.21. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.78 of that profit. Without it you would make $36.99.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 11, 03:23 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 2 Winner: Rawat vs Alkaya”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Sidharth Rawat and Mert Alkaya in the Astana, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Rawat” if Sidharth Rawat wins set 2. It will resolve to “Alkaya” if Mert Alkaya wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current