Istanbul 2: Completed Match: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Binda

Q: Istanbul 2: Completed Match: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Binda

Prediction markets currently price this at 100%. A YES share costs 99.9¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 0.1% over 1d.

Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Binda$2k liquidity$0 volumecloses 1d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 99.9¢
Implied chance: 99.9%
Return if right: 0.1%
Spread cost: 82%

If you put in $100

You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.

YES wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.45 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.55.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 1.0¢
Implied chance: 1.0%
Return if right: 9900.0%
Spread cost: 45%

If you put in $100

You get 10000.0 shares at 1.0¢ each.

NO wins: $10000.00 back, a profit of $9900.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8181.82 of that profit. Without it you would make $18081.82.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 6, 12:00 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Poullain and Alexandr Binda in the Istanbul 2, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current