Set 1 Winner: Pereira vs Basing
BUY YES
- Cost
- 47.0¢
- Implied chance
- 47.0%
- Return if right
- 112.8%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 212.8 shares at 47.0¢ each.
YES wins: $212.77 back, a profit of $112.77. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.63 of that profit. Without it you would make $117.39.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 55.0¢
- Implied chance
- 55.0%
- Return if right
- 81.8%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 181.8 shares at 55.0¢ each.
NO wins: $181.82 back, a profit of $81.82. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.37 of that profit. Without it you would make $85.19.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Hegseth Renames Base for Lindsey GrahamThe New York Times · 10h ago
- Pentagon renames South Carolina air base after GrahamThe Hill · 12h ago
- Taylor Farms recalls jalapeño-based foods in 26 states amid ongoing salmonella outbreakMarketWatch · 14h ago
- Russian forces in Syria will give up control of two strategic bases on the Mediterranean coastFrance 24 · 16h ago
- Battle for Mali base has killed dozens of militants, army saysBBC News · 16h ago
- Netanyahu eyes election base as friction with Trump grows over Gaza dealFrance 24 · 19h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 1 Winner: Pereira vs Basing”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market refers to the tennis match between Tiago Pereira and Max Basing in the Istanbul 2, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Pereira” if Tiago Pereira wins the first set. It will resolve to “Basing” if Max Basing wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Other outcomes in Istanbul 2: Tiago Pereira vs Max Basing
- Istanbul 2: Tiago Pereira vs Max Basing
- Pereira vs. Basing: Match O/U 21.5
- Set Handicap: Pereira (-1.5) vs Basing (+1.5)
- Set Handicap: Basing (-1.5) vs Pereira (+1.5)
- Tiago Pereira vs. Max Basing: Total Sets O/U 2.5
- Pereira vs. Basing: Match O/U 22.5
- Pereira vs. Basing: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
- Pereira vs. Basing: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
- Pereira vs. Basing: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
- Pereira vs. Basing: Match O/U 23.5
- Set 2 Winner: Pereira vs Basing
- Istanbul 2: Completed Match: Tiago Pereira vs Max Basing
- Pereira vs. Basing: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
- Pereira vs. Basing: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
- Pereira vs. Basing: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5