Buenos Aires 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Valerio Aboian

Q: Buenos Aires 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Valerio Aboian

Prediction markets currently price this at 76%. A YES share costs 76.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 31.6% over 6d.

Buenos Aires 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Valerio Aboian$76k liquidity$76k volumecloses 6d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 76.0¢
Implied chance: 76.0%
Return if right: 31.6%
Spread cost: 12%

If you put in $100

You get 131.6 shares at 76.0¢ each.

YES wins: $131.58 back, a profit of $31.58. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.48 of that profit. Without it you would make $36.05.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 29.0¢
Implied chance: 29.0%
Return if right: 244.8%
Spread cost: 12%

If you put in $100

You get 344.8 shares at 29.0¢ each.

NO wins: $344.83 back, a profit of $244.83. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $32.53 of that profit. Without it you would make $277.36.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 22, 07:00 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Buenos Aires 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Valerio Aboian”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Genaro Alberto Olivieri and Valerio Aboian in the Buenos Aires 2, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Genaro Alberto Olivieri' if Genaro Alberto Olivieri advances against Valerio Aboian. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Genaro Alberto Olivieri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current