Set 1 Winner: O'Connell vs Ruud
BUY YES
- Cost
- 32.0¢
- Implied chance
- 32.0%
- Return if right
- 212.5%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 312.5 shares at 32.0¢ each.
YES wins: $312.50 back, a profit of $212.50. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $15.37 of that profit. Without it you would make $227.87.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 71.0¢
- Implied chance
- 71.0%
- Return if right
- 40.8%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 140.8 shares at 71.0¢ each.
NO wins: $140.85 back, a profit of $40.85. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.04 of that profit. Without it you would make $43.88.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruud Set 1 Winner30.5%
- Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.578.0%
- Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 21.552.5%
- Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 10.529.5%
- Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-1.552.5%
- Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 9.551.5%
Latest: Aug 15, 02:42 PM4 further outcomes not shown
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 1 Winner: O'Connell vs Ruud”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market refers to the tennis match between Christopher O'Connell and Casper Ruud in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “O'Connell” if Christopher O'Connell wins the first set. It will resolve to “Ruud” if Casper Ruud wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Other outcomes in Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruud
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruud
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs O'Connell (+1.5)
Christopher O'Connell vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets O/U 2.5
O'Connell vs. Ruud: Match O/U 22.5
O'Connell vs. Ruud: Match O/U 21.5
O'Connell vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
O'Connell vs. Ruud: Match O/U 23.5
O'Connell vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
O'Connell vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
O'Connell vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
O'Connell vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
O'Connell vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
Set 2 Winner: O'Connell vs Ruud
Cincinnati Open: Completed Match: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruud