Set 1 Winner: Neumayer vs Crawford
BUY YES
- Cost
- 48.0¢
- Implied chance
- 48.0%
- Return if right
- 108.3%
- Spread cost
- 13%
If you put in $100
You get 208.3 shares at 48.0¢ each.
YES wins: $208.33 back, a profit of $108.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16.39 of that profit. Without it you would make $124.72.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 59.0¢
- Implied chance
- 59.0%
- Return if right
- 69.5%
- Spread cost
- 13%
If you put in $100
You get 169.5 shares at 59.0¢ each.
NO wins: $169.49 back, a profit of $69.49. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10.69 of that profit. Without it you would make $80.18.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Lukas Neumayer vs Oliver Crawford Set 1 Winner44.5%
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Lukas Neumayer vs Oliver Crawford Total Sets: O/U 2.550.0%
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Lukas Neumayer vs Oliver Crawford Set 2 O/U 8.549.5%
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Lukas Neumayer vs Oliver Crawford Set 2 O/U 9.549.5%
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Lukas Neumayer vs Oliver Crawford Set 2 O/U 10.549.5%
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Lukas Neumayer vs Oliver Crawford Set 1 O/U 8.549.5%
Latest: Aug 24, 02:46 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Ankur Crawford on the Power of MistakesBloomberg · 7d ago
- Understanding Hyperscalers | Masters in Business with Ankur CrawfordBloomberg · 9d ago
- Ankur Crawford on Choosing a Job You LoveBloomberg · 9d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 1 Winner: Neumayer vs Crawford”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market refers to the tennis match between Lukas Neumayer and Oliver Crawford in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to “Neumayer” if Lukas Neumayer wins the first set. It will resolve to “Crawford” if Oliver Crawford wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Other outcomes in US Open, Qualification ATP: Lukas Neumayer vs Oliver Crawford
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Lukas Neumayer vs Oliver Crawford
- Set 2 Winner: Neumayer vs Crawford
- Lukas Neumayer vs. Oliver Crawford: Total Sets O/U 2.5
- Neumayer vs. Crawford: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
- Neumayer vs. Crawford: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
- Neumayer vs. Crawford: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
- Neumayer vs. Crawford: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
- Neumayer vs. Crawford: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
- Neumayer vs. Crawford: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
- Set Handicap: Crawford (-1.5) vs Neumayer (+1.5)
- Neumayer vs. Crawford: Match O/U 21.5
- Neumayer vs. Crawford: Match O/U 23.5
- Neumayer vs. Crawford: Match O/U 22.5
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Completed Match: Lukas Neumayer vs Oliver Crawford
- Game Spread: Crawford (-1.5) vs Neumayer (+1.5)