Hagen: Maxim Mrva vs Guy Den Ouden

Q: Hagen: Maxim Mrva vs Guy Den Ouden

Prediction markets currently price this at 1%. A YES share costs 1.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 9900.0% over 2d.

Hagen: Maxim Mrva vs Guy Den Ouden$114k liquidity$129k volumecloses 2d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 1.0¢
Implied chance: 1.0%
Return if right: 9900.0%
Spread cost: 35%

If you put in $100

You get 10000.0 shares at 1.0¢ each.

YES wins: $10000.00 back, a profit of $9900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5384.62 of that profit. Without it you would make $15284.62.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 99.7¢
Implied chance: 99.7%
Return if right: 0.3%
Spread cost: 54%

If you put in $100

You get 100.3 shares at 99.7¢ each.

NO wins: $100.30 back, a profit of $0.30. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.35 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.65.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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No price history for this window.

Latest news

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No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Hagen: Maxim Mrva vs Guy Den Ouden”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Mrva and Guy Den Ouden in the Hagen, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Mrva' if Maxim Mrva advances against Guy Den Ouden. This market will resolve to 'Guy Den Ouden' if Guy Den Ouden advances against Maxim Mrva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current