Montes vs. Erhard: Match O/U 22.5

Q: Montes vs. Erhard: Match O/U 22.5

Prediction markets currently price this at 50%. A YES share costs 50.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 100.0% over 8d.

Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Mathys Erhard$1k liquidity$0 volumecloses 8d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 50.0¢
Implied chance: 50.0%
Return if right: 100.0%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 200.0 shares at 50.0¢ each.

YES wins: $200.00 back, a profit of $100.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $108.33.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 54.0¢
Implied chance: 54.0%
Return if right: 85.2%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 185.2 shares at 54.0¢ each.

NO wins: $185.19 back, a profit of $85.19. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7.12 of that profit. Without it you would make $92.31.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 1, 07:21 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Inaki Montes and Mathys Erhard in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the match been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Challenger statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current