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Set Handicap: Moeller (-1.5) vs McDonald (+1.5)

Hamburg: Marvin Moeller vs Niels McDonald$7k liquidity$0 volumecloses 6d
TennisSportsGames
Trade on Polymarket
Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
37.0¢
Implied chance
37.0%
Return if right
170.3%
Spread cost
4%

If you put in $100

You get 270.3 shares at 37.0¢ each.

YES wins: $270.27 back, a profit of $170.27. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $177.78.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

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Cost
65.0¢
Implied chance
65.0%
Return if right
53.8%
Spread cost
4%

If you put in $100

You get 153.8 shares at 65.0¢ each.

NO wins: $153.85 back, a profit of $53.85. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $56.25.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H6H1D1W1MALL
0%25%50%75%100%Aug 14Aug 14

Latest: Aug 14, 04:47 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Set Handicap: Moeller (-1.5) vs McDonald (+1.5)”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Marvin Moeller and Niels McDonald in the Hamburg, originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Moeller" if Marvin Moeller wins by 2 or more sets than Niels McDonald, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "McDonald." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other outcomes in Hamburg: Marvin Moeller vs Niels McDonald

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Set Handicap: Moeller (-1.5) vs McDonald (+1.5) (37% chance) | PullToPar