US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Q: US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Prediction markets currently price this at 89%. A YES share costs 89.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 12.4% over 8d.

US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Shintaro Mochizuki$5k liquidity$0 volumecloses 8d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 89.0¢
Implied chance: 89.0%
Return if right: 12.4%
Spread cost: 24%

If you put in $100

You get 112.4 shares at 89.0¢ each.

YES wins: $112.36 back, a profit of $12.36. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.92 of that profit. Without it you would make $16.28.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 17.0¢
Implied chance: 17.0%
Return if right: 488.2%
Spread cost: 21%

If you put in $100

You get 588.2 shares at 17.0¢ each.

NO wins: $588.24 back, a profit of $488.24. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $126.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $614.29.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 29, 05:15 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Shintaro Mochizuki”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Shintaro Mochizuki in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Jakub Mensik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current