Hayato Matsuoka vs. Khumoun Sultanov: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Q: Hayato Matsuoka vs. Khumoun Sultanov: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Prediction markets currently price this at 92%. A YES share costs 92.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 8.7% over 8d.

Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov$4k liquidity$0 volumecloses 8d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 92.0¢
Implied chance: 92.0%
Return if right: 8.7%
Spread cost: 83%

If you put in $100

You get 108.7 shares at 92.0¢ each.

YES wins: $108.70 back, a profit of $8.70. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $43.98 of that profit. Without it you would make $52.67.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 61.0¢
Implied chance: 61.0%
Return if right: 63.9%
Spread cost: 66%

If you put in $100

You get 163.9 shares at 61.0¢ each.

NO wins: $163.93 back, a profit of $63.93. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $125.92 of that profit. Without it you would make $189.86.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 14, 04:28 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Hayato Matsuoka and Khumoun Sultanov in the Astana, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current