San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Daniel Milavsky

Q: San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Daniel Milavsky

Prediction markets currently price this at 63%. A YES share costs 63.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 58.7% over 6d.

San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Daniel Milavsky$82k liquidity$1k volumecloses 6d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 63.0¢
Implied chance: 63.0%
Return if right: 58.7%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 158.7 shares at 63.0¢ each.

YES wins: $158.73 back, a profit of $58.73. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.27 of that profit. Without it you would make $60.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 38.0¢
Implied chance: 38.0%
Return if right: 163.2%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 263.2 shares at 38.0¢ each.

NO wins: $263.16 back, a profit of $163.16. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $166.67.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 23, 02:00 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Daniel Milavsky”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Timo Legout and Daniel Milavsky in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timo Legout' if Timo Legout advances against Daniel Milavsky. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Milavsky' if Daniel Milavsky advances against Timo Legout. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current