Set Handicap: Landaluce (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Landaluce (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 69%. A YES share costs 69.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 44.9% over 8d.

Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Matteo Arnaldi$10k liquidity$0 volumecloses 8d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 69.0¢
Implied chance: 69.0%
Return if right: 44.9%
Spread cost: 67%

If you put in $100

You get 144.9 shares at 69.0¢ each.

YES wins: $144.93 back, a profit of $44.93. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $90.37 of that profit. Without it you would make $135.29.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 84.0¢
Implied chance: 84.0%
Return if right: 19.0%
Spread cost: 74%

If you put in $100

You get 119.0 shares at 84.0¢ each.

NO wins: $119.05 back, a profit of $19.05. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $54.87 of that profit. Without it you would make $73.91.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 14, 07:39 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Landaluce and Matteo Arnaldi in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Landaluce" if Martin Landaluce wins by 2 or more sets than Matteo Arnaldi, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arnaldi." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current