Set Handicap: Thiago Monteiro (-1.5) vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Thiago Monteiro (-1.5) vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 30%. A YES share costs 30.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 233.3% over 3d.

Szczecin: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Thiago Monteiro$10k liquidity$0 volumecloses 3d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 30.0¢
Implied chance: 30.0%
Return if right: 233.3%
Spread cost: 7%

If you put in $100

You get 333.3 shares at 30.0¢ each.

YES wins: $333.33 back, a profit of $233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $17.54 of that profit. Without it you would make $250.88.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 73.0¢
Implied chance: 73.0%
Return if right: 37.0%
Spread cost: 7%

If you put in $100

You get 137.0 shares at 73.0¢ each.

NO wins: $136.99 back, a profit of $36.99. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.87 of that profit. Without it you would make $39.86.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 20, 02:00 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Monteiro and Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Thiago Monteiro" if Thiago Monteiro wins by 2 or more sets than Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Thiago Monteiro can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current