Set Handicap: Wendelken (-1.5) vs Harris (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Wendelken (-1.5) vs Harris (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 92%. A YES share costs 92.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 8.7% over 7d.

Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken$956 liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 92.0¢
Implied chance: 92.0%
Return if right: 8.7%
Spread cost: 90%

If you put in $100

You get 108.7 shares at 92.0¢ each.

YES wins: $108.70 back, a profit of $8.70. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $74.79 of that profit. Without it you would make $83.49.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 83.0¢
Implied chance: 83.0%
Return if right: 20.5%
Spread cost: 83%

If you put in $100

You get 120.5 shares at 83.0¢ each.

NO wins: $120.48 back, a profit of $20.48. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $99.30 of that profit. Without it you would make $119.78.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Set Handicap: Wendelken (-1.5) vs Harris (+1.5)”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Harry Wendelken and Lloyd Harris in the Brownsburg, originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Wendelken" if Harry Wendelken wins by 2 or more sets than Lloyd Harris, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Harris." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current