Friend vs. Geerts: Match O/U 23.5

Q: Friend vs. Geerts: Match O/U 23.5

Prediction markets currently price this at 44%. A YES share costs 44.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 127.3% over 8d.

Roehampton 2: Jay Dylan Friend vs Michael Geerts$542 liquidity$0 volumecloses 8d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 44.0¢
Implied chance: 44.0%
Return if right: 127.3%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 227.3 shares at 44.0¢ each.

YES wins: $227.27 back, a profit of $127.27. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.02 of that profit. Without it you would make $135.29.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 59.0¢
Implied chance: 59.0%
Return if right: 69.5%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 169.5 shares at 59.0¢ each.

NO wins: $169.49 back, a profit of $69.49. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.42 of that profit. Without it you would make $73.91.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 24, 04:43 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Jay Dylan Friend and Michael Geerts in the Roehampton 2, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Challenger statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current